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File PDF document Domesticated Nature: Shaping Landscapes and Ecosystems for Human Welfare
Like all species, humans have exercised their impulse to perpetuate and propagate themselves. In doing so, we have domesticated landscapes and ecosystems in ways that enhance our food supplies, reduce exposure to predators and natural dangers, and promote commerce. On average, the net benefits to humankind of domesticated nature have been positive. We have, of course, made mistakes, causing unforeseen changes in ecosystem attributes, while leaving few, if any, truly wild places on Earth. Going into the future, scientists can help humanity to domesticate nature more wisely by quantifying the tradeoffs among ecosystem services, such as how increasing the provision of one service may decrease ecosystem resilience and the provision of other services.
Located in Resources / Climate Science Documents
File PDF document Doran et al 2001.pdf
Located in Resources / TRB Library / DIN-ECO
File PDF document Downes 1986.pdf
Located in Resources / TRB Library / DIN-ECO
File PDF document Downing 2006.pdf
Located in Resources / TRB Library / DIN-ECO
File PDF document Downing Downing 1992.pdf
Located in Resources / TRB Library / DIN-ECO
File PDF document Downing et al 1989.pdf
Located in Resources / TRB Library / DIN-ECO
File PDF document Downing et al 1992 Aggregation.pdf
Located in Resources / TRB Library / DIN-ECO
File PDF document Downing et al 1992.pdf
Located in Resources / TRB Library / DIN-ECO
File PDF document Downing et al 1993.pdf
Located in Resources / TRB Library / DIN-ECO
File PDF document Dramatically increasing chance of extremely hot summers since the 2003 European heatwave
Socio-economic stress from the unequivocal warming of the global climate system(1)could be mostly felt by societies through weather and climate extremes (2). The vulnerability of European citizens was made evident during the summer heatwave of 2003 (refs 3,4) when the heat-related death toll ran into tens of thousands (5). Human influence at least doubled the chances of the event according to the first formal event attribution study (6), which also made the ominous forecast that severe heatwaves could become commonplace by the 2040s. Here we investigate how the likelihood of having another extremely hot summer in one of the worst affected parts of Europe has changed ten years after the original study was published, given an observed summer temperature increase of 0.81 K since then. Our analysis benefits from the availability of new observations and data from several new models. Using a previously employed temperature threshold to define extremely hot summers, we find that events that would occur twice a century in the early 2000s are now expected to occur twice a decade. For the more extreme threshold observed in 2003, the return time reduces from thousands of years in the late twentieth century to about a hundred years in little over a decade.
Located in Resources / Climate Science Documents